2018–2019 Strategy Paper

While pre­serving his power-polit­ics prerog­at­ives, Alex­an­der Lukashen­ka, the pres­id­ent of Belarus since 1994, has steered a for­eign policy course inten­ded to main­tain the country’s nation­al autonomy des­pite its eco­nom­ic depend­ency on Moscow and made it pos­sible for the nearly ten mil­lion-strong pop­u­la­tion to secure a live­li­hood through inde­pend­ent eco­nom­ic activ­ity Read more…

Strategy Report 2016/​2018

1. The situ­ation in Belarus Moscow – Minsk ten­sions To shore up its pre­cari­ous stra­tegic situ­ation, the author­it­ari­an Lukashen­ko regime is pur­su­ing a policy of con­trolled cooper­a­tion with the Rus­si­an Fed­er­a­tion. Under Vladi­mir Putin, the Rus­si­an Fed­er­a­tion seeks to estab­lish a Moscow-steered Euras­i­an Eco­nom­ic Uni­on; Belarus plays an import­ant role Read more…

Strategy Paper 2015

Pres­id­en­tial elec­tions were held in Belarus on 11 Octo­ber 2015. As expec­ted, Lukashen­ka was again elec­ted to the pres­id­ency in elec­tions that were, once again, rigged. And once again, new refine­ments in elec­tion manip­u­la­tion were intro­duced. For­eign policy con­sid­er­a­tions sug­gest that a more pos­it­ive eval­u­ation of the regime on the Read more…

2012 Strategy report on the situation in Belarus

The situ­ation Alex­an­der Lukashen­ko is the mas­ter of the “House of Belarus”, he scru­pu­lously represses mani­fest­a­tions of res­ist­ance with­in the country’s social and polit­ic­al struc­tures and circles, and he enjoys the rewards of reject­ing closer cooper­a­tion with the European Uni­on and its mem­bers, which have been forced by the Euro Read more…

2011 Strategy report on the situation in Belarus

The situ­ation The eco­nom­ic and fin­an­cial crisis in Belarus-a con­sequence of the planned eco­nomy and the decreas­ing level of Rus­si­an sub­­sidies-has jeop­ard­ized the “social con­tract” between the pop­u­la­tion, on the one side, and the pres­id­ent, as the guar­ant­or of eco­nom­ic and social sta­bil­ity and gradu­al improve­ment, on the oth­er. Against Read more…